Worth Another Look?
Summary Key Points
- BRU has swapped permits with Mitsubishi to focus on oil production: BRU recently announced a deal where it has swapped permits with its long-term Canning Basin partner; Mitsubishi. BRU now own and operate 100% of the Ungani oil permits and Mitsubishi own 100% of the Valhalla/Asgard gas permits. This allows BRU to rapidly develop its oil assets without any constraint from Mitsubishi.
- BRU are working on the restart of Ungani production to generate cash flow: BRU are in the process of restarting production from the Ungani oil field which was shut in due to low oil prices. BRU announced at the AGM that it expects to initially produce ~1,250 barrels per day using natural lift. By the end of the year BRU is planning to install downhole ESP’s to lift production to circa 3,000 barrels per day. It is expecting to make $25 to $30 per barrel including the cost of transport to Wyndham. As BRU now own 100% of the Ungani field it will receive 100% of the field cashflow and as part of the permit swap, Mitsubishi will also contribute $1.5m to the restart of production.
- BRU will ship to its existing export point at the Port of Wyndham where it is in the process of a vendor-financed tank capacity upgrade allowing for bigger tankers thereby improving the field economics. The tank upgrade is also being vendor financed. The longer-term plan is to export via Broome port which is only circa 100km from the field. Currently, there are no suitable facilities and tanks and infrastructure will have to be developed from scratch. This will take a substantial cash injection to develop and BRU needs ongoing production to secure financing. Hence the more expensive Wyndham export route is an interim step until a suitable financing package can be worked out.
- Drilling upside: BRU has no large-scale drilling plans for this financial year but is looking at drilling a side-track on Ungani-3. Ungani-3 was the step out appraisal well that unexpectedly intersected a tight portion of the Ungani dolomite reservoir. Post further analysis BRU believe a fault may be to blame and side-tracking the well could intersect the productive portion of the reservoir. If this fails, BRU is planning to use the well as a water injector as the need for efficient formation water handling increases. BRU is planning a comprehensive drilling program from next year and is exploring funding options for a number of targets.
- Unconventional gas appraisal on hold while enquiry is ongoing: The new labour government is about to embark on another fracking review which will make it the 15th enquiry in Australia.
- Ongoing cost reduction: BRU has aggressively moved to reduce expenditure in line with its level of activity. BRU currently has ~$19.8m cash on hand but it still owes Alcoa $12.5m which is due in June next year.
BRU has refocussed its business to take advantage of low cost opportunities to earn cash flow from its oil resources. Over time we can expect an increase in oil drilling activity as BRU ramps up exploration and ties in other discoveries. The Ungani trend is very promising and BRU’s strategy of producing from proven wells while looking for more oil upside across the trend makes economic sense.
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SPECULATIVE BUY – Potential 10% out-performance, but high risk
BUY – Potential 10% or more out-performance
ACCUMULATE – Potential 10% or more out-performance, buy on share price weakness
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